If you found this article because you need paid picks for Toto, you’re in luck. This one article could save you from being a victim of fraud.
Let me start this article with a conclusion: All paid picks sold on Toto are fraudulent.
Buying lottery numbers is a scam as serious as, if not worse than, buying them. Let’s delve into the reasons why you should avoid buying paid or free lottery picks and why you should conduct your own analysis of Toto, starting from the very beginning of Toto’s development.
해당 글의 목차
The origin of paid picks
In fact, the concept of paid picks didn’t originate in Korea. It began in the early 2010s, when companies selling picks under the name “tipster” began to realize the potential for profitable betting-related industries overseas.
Of course, there are companies selling paid picks overseas as of 2024, but the number is much smaller than in the past.
This marked the beginning of a surge in self-proclaimed professional picksters in Korea. Isn’t that true? If you’re a soccer fan, you’ll often find yourself discussing a game with friends and confidently stating your opinion, saying things like, “This time, Real Madrid will win, Barcelona will win, Manchester United will win, Liverpool will win.”
A few pundits who thought they could make money by simply predicting matches started their own ridiculous business by promoting these paid picks.
At first, I mainly sold picks on Naver blogs or group chats.
They mainly wrote analysis of specific sports games and asked for money to receive ‘main combinations, main picks’, etc.
If the results flow as the information obtained for free goes, people will start to trust the self-proclaimed fixers, and after receiving the money, most of them will start acting like they don’t know anything.
Naturally, their winning percentages weren’t great, and even if they did buy paid picks, they only suffered losses for two or three days at most, so the losses for the buyers weren’t significant. So, these self-proclaimed picksters began employing even more nefarious tactics.
Self-proclaimed experts who are becoming more vicious
Naturally, these self-proclaimed fixers, unable to maintain their winning percentages for long periods of time, devised another method: inducing long-term payments from the start!
It was a possible method because people were quite innocent at the time, but they tricked people into paying for one day’s worth of paid picks at 30,000 won, paying for one week’s worth of paid picks at 150,000 won, and paying for one month at 300,000 won.
At this time, usually, you would buy a day’s worth of paid picks, but if the performance was good that day, you would suddenly buy a week’s or a month’s worth of paid picks, so the damage increased.
The number of victims grew by the day, but there was no way to get their money back or report the incident. Naturally, this wasn’t 100% fraudulent, as it wasn’t reported, and legally, it wasn’t considered fraud. The only thing we could do was report the company to the police and have them pay taxes or a fine, as they operated without even registering their business.
If there had been a phrase like “80% guaranteed win rate!”, it would have been clear grounds for punishment as fraud, but they used a vicious method of posting the winning probability of the bet as above to inform people that there was a chance of losing.
So, as time went by, this paid sports pick lost the trust of many people and it seemed like there was no more rice bowl for them to take.
As the Toto culture developed, users began to realize that buying and selling sports picks was absurd, and the slogan, “All paid pick companies are scams!” spread from one community, and the many paid pick scammers began to disappear.
But… at this time, a company’s ‘ladder’ game, which even the famous Tojaengi couldn’t ignore, became famous and he fell into an even deeper swamp.
The era of the grand ladder… and free picks?
Anyone who’s been betting since the beginning will know that around this time, N Company’s ladder game became popular. Because many users were unable to profit from sports betting or found it too boring, the game quickly became available on various betting sites.
Pick-sellers who had lost their livelihoods began to have hope again. If sports picks didn’t sell, they could just sell ladder picks.
From this time on, the era of the great fixer, which coincided with the era of the great ladder, began, with people trying to catch the fools who roamed the market like dogs and cows.
This era proves that there are so many truly stupid people, and that the saying that the average citizen is a 5th grader is not without reason. (The average citizen of Tojeong seems even lower… Topyeongchil?)
Let’s think about it for a moment. In a ladder game, the probability of getting an odd or even number is 50%. Naturally, this means that the probability of the picker getting it right and the probability of me getting it right are both 50%.
At that time, most of the picksters would lock people in a group chat room, commonly called a ladder family room, and give out picks, but successful picksters would have multiple rooms like the one above and give out multiple picks to minimize the risk.
However, in the picture above, the 2 consecutive all-kills may seem like a big deal, but in reality, the probability of matching (odd, even) and (3 lines, 4 lines) is as high as 25%.
If you’re posting a photo of yourself hitting a 25% chance twice in a row, you can see just how miserable your win rate is. So many people bought this, calling it a pick. How foolish.
Let’s take a common sense example.
In a situation like the above, would anyone pay their friend even if they got the hole right? They’d get paid for a 50% chance of getting it right? It doesn’t make sense.
But because it was profitable, these paid ladder picks also sold like hotcakes, sparking fierce competition. Those who were losing out on paid picks began offering free picks, one by one, to lure people into group chats.
The poor bettors who were fed up with paid sports picks and paid ladder picks are now starting to dabble in free picks, where they have nothing to lose.
If you think about it simply, free picks are more trustworthy because you don’t have to worry about losing anything and the people sharing the free picks don’t have to worry about taking anything away from you. As this era of free picks spread, paid picks also began to gradually disappear.
Are free picks really trustworthy?
In the first place, there’s no money involved in picking, so is it because the person providing the pick is genuinely kind, pure, and good at guessing? That’s impossible.
Free picks were perhaps even worse than paid picks.
The first free picks were launched by so-called “general agents” to recruit members. They began by entrapping people in group chats and luring them to their betting companies by distributing free picks.
You can think of them as truly innocent and stupid, evil people who suck the blood of people who have already lost countless times to fraud.
As I said above, who can predict the outcome of a 50-50 game? How can analysis even exist? It’s probably more likely to be a guess as to where a dog will poop today.
At least there’s a metric that shows you’ve been shitting. But you analyze the metric of ladder results and give picks? And for free? Of course there’s a reason.
The family room distributors mentioned here usually divided the room into about 100 people and managed them. There were about 80 people, including the room leader who threw out picks and most of the acquaintances, part-timers, and ghost accounts who were catching the wind on the side. Only the remaining 20 or so people were actually people who fell for the trickery .
Those 20 people, no matter how bad their odds of winning were, couldn’t say anything because they had to watch the atmosphere around them, and when they tried to leave, they were lured in with a gift certificate or two to manage the pick room.
Even when a company rips you off, you have to look at 80 people and tell them what you want, so no one will take your side, so you can’t easily speak up, and the damage becomes more and more severe by the day.
Aside from that, how on earth could there be a pick in this minigame? It’s just so stupid to be fooled.
Even if odd numbers come out 10,000 times in a row, the probability of odd/even numbers coming out next time is the same at 50%. It’s just ridiculous to talk about the gambler’s fallacy as if it’s not a mistake, saying it’s all about timing or this or that picture.
With free picks becoming so popular, there are even chat rooms created where betting companies themselves provide picks.
Isn’t that funny? From the perspective of a company that’s paying money, they’re giving out picks just to get their money back? I don’t know how they can possibly understand a person, but this worked…
But if the odds of losing and winning are equal, and you’re lucky, you might see a group profit. What happens then? As we all know, you won’t receive your money. They’ll make up all sorts of excuses and refuse to exchange your money, and your hard-earned money will be ‘gulped down.’
What is the biggest reason people get fooled by paid picks and free picks?
Similar to free/paid picks, lottery number prediction scams are common. However, most lottery players avoid these scams. Why?
The answer is “memory.” While the swindlers are often deceived because they can’t shake the memory of winning money , many are fooled by self-proclaimed experts in sports or ladder games, knowing full well that winning the lottery is a 1 in 8,000,000 chance and therefore unlikely.
If people weren’t buying based on odds, our country would already be in an uproar, desperate to buy Mega Millions tickets (like the American lottery). But most people recognize the discrepancy in expectations and don’t even try.
Everyone is eager to invest in high-risk investments like real estate and coins in hopes of making a lot of money, but the odds are high.
Ultimately, you’re buying picks based on probability and possibility. If you look around you, or even online, and see if there’s anyone who’s proven they’ve profited from buying picks, there isn’t a single one.
Even though the lottery is being reported and there are winners every week, there is not a single person who has ever made a profit by buying a pick.
Any similar scams?
Similar scams to paid picks include manipulated picks, leaked picks, and balanced picks. Naturally, these are all scams.
This is a scam that is more commonly used in mini-games like ladders than in sports, where they ask you to deposit money in advance to know the results of the next round.
It is characterized by demanding a fairly high fee per session by luring users with results manipulated with Photoshop or chat history with members.
Of course, there may be manipulation picks, but we won’t simply spread them online to induce purchases. Let’s never be fooled.
Also, recently, since they know the results of the next round of leaked picks, they are being used for voice phishing by requesting the ID/password of a company that can use mini-games such as ladders and using withdrawal as an excuse.
If you withdraw money and send it or deliver it in person, you can be arrested for voice phishing and become a suspect even though you were scammed, so please be careful.
＊Do Ladder Leak Picks and Manipulated Picks Really Exist? [Link]
A paid pick-up company that has opened a business?
I don’t think I can guarantee an absolute win rate, but I think that for businesses that have been in operation for a long time, as long as there are no legal issues, they can be maintained.
I cautiously predict that if there are any companies that have survived without false and exaggerated advertising, they are either brazen operators who cleverly avoid the law or only recommend dividend stocks with very low dividends.
This is especially true for places that post certifications for making profits through legal proto. I simply cannot understand how they can consistently make profits through legal Toto, which already has low dividends and a payout rate of only 80%.
Even sports-related businesses and former professionals appearing on TV and other media consistently make wrong predictions, but a regular business is consistently right? It’s truly hard to believe.
Are their balls square instead of round? I can’t say for sure that “those companies are 100% scams,” but I recommend not using them.(If they were that confident, they would have placed the bet themselves..)
No paid picks x Let’s analyze it on our own
Ultimately, trying to leverage others’ power is a recipe for fraud in the Toto world. The only way to win is to refer to objective, evidence-based articles from foreign sports analysis companies to predict the game and place your own bets.
Let’s understand that the best way for users to create picks is to obtain information on matches in each league abroad through Papago, Google Translate, etc. and check if there are any players who will be absent.
Free overseas pick sites worth referring to
- soccertipsters – Free international soccer picks
- protipster – MLB Free Picks
- olbg – Free picks for esports (LoL)
- oddspedia – NBA Free Picks
